#COVIDー19 & Swine Flu/H1N1 are not the same unfortunately. H1N1 killed 0.02% (https://t.co/I16csK3zil), the average kill rate of COVID-19 is 4.44% (https://t.co/OmfiFZgjEe). Also H1N1 R0 was avg 1.4 (https://t.co/eOdk5yubBc), COVID-19's 5.7 (https://t.
@langhos @Bazilis R0 je za předpokladu, že se neočkuje a není imunita, což reálné šířené té chřipky trochu zpomaluje. Jinak třeba tady se uvádí 0,9 - 2,1 pro sezónní kmeny. https://t.co/cwcmZFatl9 Jinak R0 se odhaduje v základu dvěma metodami, které nejs
RT @HashemGhaili: Seasonal Flu Vs COVID-19 Learn more: - https://t.co/vEmaGu9Rzl - https://t.co/NKT3g2vc0V - https://t.co/dqGlEZ0Uu2 - ht…
RT @HashemGhaili: Seasonal Flu Vs COVID-19 Learn more: - https://t.co/vEmaGu9Rzl - https://t.co/NKT3g2vc0V - https://t.co/dqGlEZ0Uu2 - ht…
Seasonal Flu Vs COVID-19 Learn more: - https://t.co/vEmaGu9Rzl - https://t.co/NKT3g2vc0V - https://t.co/dqGlEZ0Uu2 - https://t.co/KK5zl58Wqx - https://t.co/3Bj1bM6Qa5 #Coronavirus #COVID_19 #COVID19 #CoronavirusUpdates https://t.co/vZ9U41vuvR
@danigeos @mickymicky06s In addition, it spreads more easily, which is a big part of why hospitals are overwhelmed. R0 for flu: ~1.3 https://t.co/Hm9f8glsjI R0 for SARS2-CoV-19 is widely cited at 2.0-2.5. In exponential growth this is HUGE difference.
A note on quarantines. As much as the pundits gripe about it they work if you look at the data. Of course they have to be balanced with economic impact at well. Those pretty charts above will most likely be off due to the positive effects of quarantine.
@KaraburanFoehn @Mr_Black_Cotton R0 of Flu vs COVID-19 Influenza: 1.3 https://t.co/62yyhUNya6 COVID-19: 2-2.5 https://t.co/R2aBA7VFkC
@karagracia @kirtimc @VJKUTZ @funder swine flu had an R0 near 1.5 and COVID19 is close to 3, so is much more infectious. https://t.co/Tvt3kHhLC7
@Sqwii Pas på med at drage konklusioner ved at sammenligne æbler med bananer. Mange faktorer er stadig ukendte. Indtil videre ser smitsomheden for Covid-19 (R0~2,3) ud til at være forskellig fra season influenza (R0~1,3). https://t.co/bQRq0UfgbF https://t.
@TheGuapoGringo @SteveSkojec Swine flu's R0 number between 1.4 and 1.6, so already higher than normal flu of 1.3. https://t.co/UGoLInAzR1 Do you believe CDC or WHO is part of the hysteria?
@harsh8848 @amithbn @juneymb So source for H1N1 R0 1.4-1.6 https://t.co/PSUhmN18JN
Links to studies from video: https://t.co/gf8pQno9KM https://t.co/bakQ4a5r9K https://t.co/bEt36OMtYB
RT @Usama_Polani: @t0nyyates https://t.co/zsHwekavXy So second link in this tweet I found had a nice coverage and also has really good summ…
@t0nyyates https://t.co/zsHwekavXy So second link in this tweet I found had a nice coverage and also has really good summary references for more specific topics. https://t.co/X88WzMlQ9g this on networks and epidemic models helpful but there was another one
@2ndamendment19 @HamGraff @CarmineSabia Sources: US National Library of Medicine National Institutes of Health H1N1 R0: https://t.co/fEUL1csRjE H1N1 CFR: https://t.co/vj44rKcHzj COVID-19 obviously not as well studied so using current estimates.
@84Aquaman r0 of h1n1 was 1.4-1.6 https://t.co/aK505RFnLi This new virus is at least 2.0 and mortality was less than one tenth of one percent with H1N1... Mortality of the new corornavirus is at least 1% right now...
@servillius Well, if you click through and read, you would see… https://t.co/kxQRoJOJcf https://t.co/vARqeBkMry https://t.co/7zsJBnu8bc https://t.co/I2Cd4iAnVJ
@_LukasFreund_ @arthurturrell @emma__glennon @DaalenKim Hi, https://t.co/4ynN0qosXC is a great roundup of modelling influenza and various public health measures. It’s non technical but serves as a great reference to more in-depth papers. https://t.co/j4Ak
RT @neuroecology: For comparison: the H1N1 2009 'swine flu' pandemic had an overall mortality rate of ~0.01% It also had an R0 of ~1.5, co…
RT @neuroecology: For comparison: the H1N1 2009 'swine flu' pandemic had an overall mortality rate of ~0.01% It also had an R0 of ~1.5, co…
For comparison: the H1N1 2009 'swine flu' pandemic had an overall mortality rate of ~0.01% It also had an R0 of ~1.5, compared to ~2.5+ for #COVID19 COVID is more dangerous and spreads more than the flu https://t.co/9bhEdlUPfx https://t.co/XZGXGJUu02 h
@Aine441 @fercardenete @CAMAIVpregunta @emmapache_ Que sí, la Gripe A también tenía un R0 mayor al de la gripe común https://t.co/gr4Vkf3Gp4 ¿dónde está la gripe A? La misma historia, vacas locas, gripe A, ébola, siempre acaba igual, se invierten cientos d
R0 rates for previous #pandemics “#1918 -1919 pandemic strain [ #SpanishFlu ] (mean R0 approximately 2: range 1.4 to 2.8) and is comparable to R0 values estimated for seasonal strains of influenza (mean R0 1.3: range 0.9 to 2.1)” https://t.co/mNhMkkhMse
@tagegenerbris @admcollingwood @solomonjabel @fanfavorit95 @Laurie_Garrett The Yahoo Finance article uses values from WHO. https://t.co/vx3jx1vMwV The range of values for flu R0 are from this article: Modeling influenza epidemics and pandemics: insights i
RT @SophiePointer: @Chopsie_Murphy @indica2007 There's been some good papers published since SARs on ROs for novel viruses, see for example…
@Chopsie_Murphy @indica2007 There's been some good papers published since SARs on ROs for novel viruses, see for example: https://t.co/xwvvjRK4Mk and here's a nice website comparing 'flu' with covid-2019 https://t.co/u1qqJ5HRDS
El factor de transmisibilidad más probable (r0) está entre 2.06 y 2.52, casi el doble que el de la (actual) gripe convencional https://t.co/0KoEc9IkIu https://t.co/mpApps5Aq3
RT @ai6yrham: R0 of seasonal influenza is ~1.3 (mean R0 1.3: range 0.9 to 2.1) https://t.co/QNsume9Vp0
@Tommyblx @actualwhiteguy @jaclloydjones @BBCPolitics An example for the R0 (basic reproduction number) of SARS-COV-2: https://t.co/1v8p0ZpKPR H1N1 flu R0: https://t.co/xR5V0rB5qW CFR (from Johns Hopkins University), actually increased to 3.4% now: https:/
@alexelcu @milessabin @mandubian @yoeight diverses sources that I try to filter, but of course there's lots of incertitude. For ex: https://t.co/Dw6kVpLLQg Oh, and it seems seasonal influenza is far less contagious (in general) that I thought: 0.9~2.1 http
@AgnesWold @ChangFrick Det finns ju massvis av olika varianter av influensa. Vissa mer smittsamma än andra. Men du kan garanterat mer om detta än mig. Enligt följande studie så har "vanlig influensa" ett R0 på 1.3 https://t.co/QQJP5NxYHo
Seasonal influenza has an R(0) between 0.9 and 2.3 Source: https://t.co/aCYjj20NgZ The coronavirus reproduction number is estimated to be about 2.28 Source: https://t.co/Pdo9NeCpKM. 2/7
@Enjoyastogie @psuvafan007 Flu R0 of ~1.6 https://t.co/7iMzKVKEd0 Cov19 R0 unknown but suspected 2-6 Flu mortality 10 bps Cov19 mortality, a guess 1%
RT @mckilloplaw: Eagerly awaiting a retraction from USA Today on this misleading graph. Influenza's R0 value is under 2. Even the Spanish F…
Eagerly awaiting a retraction from USA Today on this misleading graph. Influenza's R0 value is under 2. Even the Spanish Flu was under 2 according to most researchers. Meant to make you think the coronavirus is not as bad as the flu. See: https://t.co/tDBf
Heck. #coronavirus
@maiamajumder @mandl For comparison https://t.co/DxRH13ftBs H1N1 R0 of 1.4 and 1.6, influenza (mean R0 1.3) range 0.9 to 2.1, et al
R0 für Influenza A ist 1,4-1,6 (Quelle: https://t.co/9irN7nZstP) und für das Coronoavirus 3,8 (Quelle: https://t.co/amN1Rd6CF6) Was ist jetzt "ansteckender"? ExpertInnen vor den Vorhang! (Ich bin keiner.) "Grippe ansteckender als Coronavirus" https://t.c
@camcavers @AVT198 @persona3memes @realBobBruley According to the CDC the mortality rate of influenza/pneumonia in the 2018-2019 season was around 1.4%. Seasonal influenza is estimated to have an R0 number of ~1.3 (https://t.co/qKSKMI41jI). Influenza is g
@skour09 Indeed: R0 for the 2009_H1N1 was lower than 2: https://t.co/UsLoA5oPJc
@HistoireSecrete @DrEricDing Surely you meant: allegedly "less" than the 1918 spanish flu *pandemic*? Both the swine flu and the seasonal flu have a significantly lower r0: https://t.co/1m1j8mhjxu
RT @DerekGatherer: Comparison of #epidemiology of #2019nCoV with 2009 pH1N1 #Influenza R0: nCoV 2.5 (@JonRead15 latest), pH1N1 1.5 Case fat…
Comparison of #epidemiology of #2019nCoV with 2009 pH1N1 #Influenza R0: nCoV 2.5 (@JonRead15 latest), pH1N1 1.5 Case fatality rate: nCov 3.1%, pH1N1 1.2% (high end est.) Both CFRs are for confirmed symptomatic cases (not whole pop) https://t.co/lqfTVTROHd
@rtnarch nCoV: R0 = 3.6 - 4.0 For comparison: Swine flu (H1N1) R0 = 1.4 - 1.6 1918-1919 pandemic strain R0 = 1.4 - 2.8 seasonal strains of influenza: R0 = 0.9 - 2.1 https://t.co/wjWJMrHZ0E
Coronavirus 2019-nCoV:R0 = 3.6 - 4.0 For comparison: Swine flu (H1N1) R0 = 1.4 - 1.6 1918-1919 pandemic strain R0 = 1.4 - 2.8 seasonal strains of influenza: R0 = 0.9 - 2.1 https://t.co/wjWJMrHZ0E
On #SIR model for #PublicHealth, #Agent-based Modeling to contain #pandemics” and the role it can play in developing #policies for infectious diseases. https://t.co/8tmywJNXh7 https://t.co/Mv727RvkjL Simulation of #ComplexAdaptiveSystems #ComplexTheory
Working through this paper for my forthcoming book. Mathematical models of epidemics are truly fascinating. https://t.co/eo80Pz4JjP
@EllaGellaE @yassa @yushuv @ShemeshShemesh @ehmaimon @horowitz_b אז יש כמה מאמרים (המודל שהבאתי למעלה הוא מודל לימודי): https://t.co/JXPCtvQZpM זה גם מאד חביב: https://t.co/RcgF4gHJuc זה לגבי פעולות מנע של בריאות הציבור בארה"ב בלבד: https://t.co/0Bit7A
@oawdixon thing is, the R0 for Ebola this time around is quite high - between 1.4 and 2.0. Compare and contrast: http://t.co/Gcq7ayLZTm
R0 ref http://t.co/TiTqhD9Wtf #idchat
R0 ref http://t.co/TiTqhD9Wtf #idchat
@BobDuval Here's good review on SIR models http://t.co/mULUEMfEVj. All work I know of on waves uses this type of model. Varying hypotheses.
@jonasthanatos So how does Learning go Viral? sort of like this -> http://t.co/dlDW6BDC @TheDesignKata @ddrrnt