@HenzeTimon @AndrewDessler @theresphysics @cketchamwild Yes! Alternatives to cost-benefit analysis include: - 'cost-effectiveness" approach, ie, what's the cheapest way of achieving politically-agreed goal (1.5/2C) - "storylines approach" to help decision-
"We are finding greater challenge and better insight in the creation and exploration of plausible futures in narrative form" Caroline Cook @BaillieGifford (a "storylines" approach championed especially by Ted Shepherd @UniofReading, eg https://t.co/SYsk7L
RT @RSarava: For high-impact low-likelihood events whose probabilities are hard to compute, a “storyline” approach may work better. (https:…
For high-impact low-likelihood events whose probabilities are hard to compute, a “storyline” approach may work better. (https://t.co/8AwiRohAuY) For example, we could use a stronger version of Hurricane Sandy for a stress test in the Northeast US.
"In the meantime, for users who need to make decisions, it is important to recognize that there may be two different “storylines” for the tropical Pacific in the future, which they need to take into account." https://t.co/1sRMxF6cZm
Because also model uncertainty is rather tricky to quantify. Now, I just read this article by Shepherd and colleagues https://t.co/qpFgxvdqnw
@jmorenocruz @paulgp @Noahpinion @dlmillimet Very interesting, and welcome, discussion of the value (or lack thereof) of MMEs to support decision-making. Possibly some connections with the "storylines" approach: https://t.co/xTxrmzFf3K
@theresphysics @jamesannan @bnlawrence A while ago on here I entertained myself with a narrative about how pursuing rapid decarbonisation could lead to societal collapse. I do really like narrative/storyline approaches to risk (cf https://t.co/BBttuWT8oH),
Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change https://t.co/Yc517zGnCM (I need to reread this and do some cite chasing before I decide what I really think of this paper, but first skim was very inter
Recommendations for decision support include scenario-planning and stress testing, which I think links to the recent emphasis on storylines to represent climate change uncertainty, e.g. https://t.co/puwh9CVlFb
@gil_lizcano @oxfordgeography @UniRdg_Met Oh, sorry Gil! I only just noticed this. We did not stream the lecture, but I can ask Ted about future talks. You also might be interested in some of his recent papers: https://t.co/puwh9CVlFb
RT @mammuthus: Interesting paper from @_RachelJames and others looking at how storylines can be used to convey climate change uncertainty.…
RT @CCAdaptGroup: 2018 Reads from the Year: How to tackle the limitations of using modelling to represent deep uncertainty in physical clim…
RT @CCAdaptGroup: 2018 Reads from the Year: How to tackle the limitations of using modelling to represent deep uncertainty in physical clim…
2018 Reads from the Year: How to tackle the limitations of using modelling to represent deep uncertainty in physical climate change? An argument for using storylines as an event oriented, risk based alternative https://t.co/IyIXI7Ufzj @sdessai
RT @kar_amb: "Talk about possibilities, not probabilities.” -- Ted Shepherd at #AGU18 on communicating uncertain regional #climatechange.…
"Talk about possibilities, not probabilities.” -- Ted Shepherd at #AGU18 on communicating uncertain regional #climatechange. Shepherd et al., 2018: https://t.co/uCaU7NNpjs #AGU2018
RT @CCAdaptGroup: In case you missed this last week, new paper by @sdessai and colleagues. Using storylines as an event-orientated, risk-ba…
RT @CCAdaptGroup: In case you missed this last week, new paper by @sdessai and colleagues. Using storylines as an event-orientated, risk-ba…
In case you missed this last week, new paper by @sdessai and colleagues. Using storylines as an event-orientated, risk-based alternative to model simulations in representation of deep uncertainty in physical climate change. https://t.co/IyIXI7Ufzj
RT @CCAdaptGroup: How to tackle the limitations of using modelling to represent deep uncertainty in physical climate change? An argument fo…
RT @SFuntowicz: PNS in action: “Storylines offer many possibilities in these respects, not least as ‘conversation starters’. More broadly,…
RT @SFuntowicz: PNS in action: “Storylines offer many possibilities in these respects, not least as ‘conversation starters’. More broadly,…
RT @SFuntowicz: PNS in action: “Storylines offer many possibilities in these respects, not least as ‘conversation starters’. More broadly,…
RT @SFuntowicz: PNS in action: “Storylines offer many possibilities in these respects, not least as ‘conversation starters’. More broadly,…
👍 @sdessai
RT @SFuntowicz: PNS in action: “Storylines offer many possibilities in these respects, not least as ‘conversation starters’. More broadly,…
PNS in action: “Storylines offer many possibilities in these respects, not least as ‘conversation starters’. More broadly, they provide a means of navigating the ‘cascade of uncertainty’” #PNS_4 Open access https://t.co/VRvPx2BPL6
RT @CCAdaptGroup: How to tackle the limitations of using modelling to represent deep uncertainty in physical climate change? An argument fo…
RT @ClimateEdin: New paper in Climatic Change looking at using storylines to explore climate change uncertainty - replacing probabilistic i…
RT @_RachelJames: Can we use storylines to represent uncertainty in future climate? Where probability is difficult to quantify, qualitativ…
Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change https://t.co/CFtGwX9wff
RT @IoanaDimaWest: Proud to have been part of this project .... https://t.co/amzxqlGGiu
RT @_RachelJames: Should climate scientists start writing stories?* *About physics, not fairies https://t.co/puwh9CVlFb
RT @_RachelJames: Can we use storylines to represent uncertainty in future climate? Where probability is difficult to quantify, qualitativ…
RT @_RachelJames: Can we use storylines to represent uncertainty in future climate? Where probability is difficult to quantify, qualitativ…
RT @_RachelJames: Can we use storylines to represent uncertainty in future climate? Where probability is difficult to quantify, qualitativ…
RT @_RachelJames: Can we use storylines to represent uncertainty in future climate? Where probability is difficult to quantify, qualitativ…
RT @_RachelJames: Can we use storylines to represent uncertainty in future climate? Where probability is difficult to quantify, qualitativ…
RT @_RachelJames: Can we use storylines to represent uncertainty in future climate? Where probability is difficult to quantify, qualitativ…
RT @_RachelJames: Can we use storylines to represent uncertainty in future climate? Where probability is difficult to quantify, qualitativ…
RT @_RachelJames: Can we use storylines to represent uncertainty in future climate? Where probability is difficult to quantify, qualitativ…
Proud to have been part of this project ....
RT @_RachelJames: Should climate scientists start writing stories?* *About physics, not fairies https://t.co/puwh9CVlFb
RT @_RachelJames: Can we use storylines to represent uncertainty in future climate? Where probability is difficult to quantify, qualitativ…
RT @_RachelJames: Should climate scientists start writing stories?* *About physics, not fairies https://t.co/puwh9CVlFb
RT @_RachelJames: Can we use storylines to represent uncertainty in future climate? Where probability is difficult to quantify, qualitativ…
Our New paper out on using narratives or storylines to communicate uncertainty is aspects of climate change @EngineeringNCL
Should climate scientists start writing stories?* *About physics, not fairies https://t.co/puwh9CVlFb
Can we use storylines to represent uncertainty in future climate? Where probability is difficult to quantify, qualitative, physically-based, storylines could be a useful approach. Really enjoyed working on this new paper led by Ted Shepherd @UniRdg_Met h
RT @mammuthus: Interesting paper from @_RachelJames and others looking at how storylines can be used to convey climate change uncertainty.…
RT @mammuthus: Interesting paper from @_RachelJames and others looking at how storylines can be used to convey climate change uncertainty.…
RT @mammuthus: Interesting paper from @_RachelJames and others looking at how storylines can be used to convey climate change uncertainty.…
New paper in Climatic Change looking at using storylines to explore climate change uncertainty - replacing probabilistic interpretations with assessing plausible futures https://t.co/sDkyKbs8BP
RT @mammuthus: Interesting paper from @_RachelJames and others looking at how storylines can be used to convey climate change uncertainty.…
RT @mammuthus: Interesting paper from @_RachelJames and others looking at how storylines can be used to convey climate change uncertainty.…
RT @mammuthus: Interesting paper from @_RachelJames and others looking at how storylines can be used to convey climate change uncertainty.…
RT @mammuthus: Interesting paper from @_RachelJames and others looking at how storylines can be used to convey climate change uncertainty.…
Interesting paper from @_RachelJames and others looking at how storylines can be used to convey climate change uncertainty. Moving away from probabilistic interpretation to understanding and assessing plausible futures https://t.co/BBttuWT8oH
RT @CCAdaptGroup: How to tackle the limitations of using modelling to represent deep uncertainty in physical climate change? An argument fo…
How to tackle the limitations of using modelling to represent deep uncertainty in physical climate change? An argument for using storylines as an event oriented, risk based alternative. New paper by @sdessai and colleagues https://t.co/IyIXI7Ufzj
Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of #climatechange (open access) https://t.co/QNZg5x4k8N
CC: Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change https://t.co/fEm1h4jHyR https://t.co/U6z493oc3s
Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change https://t.co/4XUqzHSiuR #climatechange