@IsabellaGhement @giulianonetto @bmwiernik Here is a gem of a reference on probability interpretations recently posted on datamethods 👉 https://t.co/JKMI6O3zvk
@dnunan79 I disagree. Individual risk does exist, and is important for individual decision-making. It's just that the relationship between group proportions and individual risk is indirect and subtle. See "On individual risk". Synthese 194, 3445-3474.
@KevinZollman Phillip Dawid’s paper on individual probability https://t.co/0twlHfYpn0
@teemu_roos @etotheipie @kareem_carr @databoydg Haha literally just read through the linked paper https://t.co/CW8wALNiRg from that thread and was coming back here to say how extremely relevant it is to our previous discussion! Thanks @RDBinns and @KLdiver
RT @RDBinns: Fascinating paper! But my favourite bit: "What even is an individual-specific probability of an outcome that only occurs once…
RT @RDBinns: Fascinating paper! But my favourite bit: "What even is an individual-specific probability of an outcome that only occurs once…
RT @RDBinns: Fascinating paper! But my favourite bit: "What even is an individual-specific probability of an outcome that only occurs once…
Fascinating paper! But my favourite bit: "What even is an individual-specific probability of an outcome that only occurs once and how does one write down a model to estimate such a thing? This quickly gets philosophical." Oh you bet it does! (cites https
@mdekstrand For anyone who's interested, I found this paper super interesting and clear (at least while I was reading it, though later hard to regurgitate what I'd learned... that's how you know you've hit something deep :) https://t.co/B2dosT5WsE
@lennybronner I think there is MUCH more to write on this subject, but one helpful reference is "On Individual Risk" by Phil Dawid, https://t.co/svdvHf4ie1 Cynthia Dwork and I are currently teaching a seminar course based in part on this paper, with help f
[1406.5540] On Individual Risk https://t.co/2kr2tdZKGx
#OpenAccess article from Synthese from2015!On individual risk #OA #philosophy #philosophyofscience https://t.co/EQoQLgCWye
On individual risk - Online First - Springer https://t.co/0WLc4OBnjB
Philip Dawid investigates the meaning of one-shot probabilities (individual risks) http://t.co/VHrLqOceBd
A recent paper by Phil Dawid surveys the many and varied notions of risk that get bandied about: http://t.co/yzlCxBQvua
A recent paper by Phil Dawid surveys the many and varied notions of risk that get bandied about: http://t.co/yzlCxBQvua
A recent paper by Phil Dawid surveys the many and varied notions of risk that get bandied about http://t.co/16C4KSQ9fV
A recent paper by Phil Dawid surveys the many and varied notions of risk that get bandied about: http://t.co/yzlCxBQvua
Really nice article on different interpretations of probability http://t.co/Im5ZkpV5ov by Philip Dawid