| Title |
The uncertainty of climate sensitivity and its implication for the Paris negotiation
|
|---|---|
| Published in |
Sustainability Science, September 2015
|
| DOI | 10.1007/s11625-015-0339-z |
| Pubmed ID | |
| Authors |
Yoichi Kaya, Mitsutsune Yamaguchi, Keigo Akimoto |
| Abstract |
Uncertainty of climate sensitivity is one of the critical issues that may affect climate response strategies. Whereas the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) was specified as 2-4.5 °C with the best estimate of 3 °C in the 4th Assessment Report of IPCC, it was revised to 1.5-4.5 °C in the 5th Assessment Report. The authors examined the impact of a difference in ECS assuming a best estimate of 2.5 °C, instead of 3 °C. The current pledges of several countries including the U.S., EU and China on emission reductions beyond 2020 are not on track for the 2 °C target with an ECS of 3 °C but are compatible with the target with an ECS of 2.5 °C. It is critically important for policymakers in Paris to know that they are in a position to make decisions under large uncertainty of ECS. |
X Demographics
The data shown below were collected from the profiles of 4 X users who shared this research output. Click here to find out more about how the information was compiled.
Geographical breakdown
| Country | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| France | 1 | 25% |
| Brazil | 1 | 25% |
| Unknown | 2 | 50% |
Demographic breakdown
| Type | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Members of the public | 3 | 75% |
| Scientists | 1 | 25% |
Mendeley readers
The data shown below were compiled from readership statistics for 23 Mendeley readers of this research output. Click here to see the associated Mendeley record.
Geographical breakdown
| Country | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown | 23 | 100% |
Demographic breakdown
| Readers by professional status | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Student > Ph. D. Student | 6 | 26% |
| Student > Master | 5 | 22% |
| Researcher | 5 | 22% |
| Professor | 1 | 4% |
| Student > Bachelor | 1 | 4% |
| Other | 1 | 4% |
| Unknown | 4 | 17% |
| Readers by discipline | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Environmental Science | 11 | 48% |
| Social Sciences | 3 | 13% |
| Agricultural and Biological Sciences | 1 | 4% |
| Earth and Planetary Sciences | 1 | 4% |
| Economics, Econometrics and Finance | 1 | 4% |
| Other | 2 | 9% |
| Unknown | 4 | 17% |
Attention Score in Context
This research output has an Altmetric Attention Score of 19. This is our high-level measure of the quality and quantity of online attention that it has received. This Attention Score, as well as the ranking and number of research outputs shown below, was calculated when the research output was last mentioned on 28 September 2020.
All research outputs
#1,679,753
of 22,829,083 outputs
Outputs from Sustainability Science
#145
of 791 outputs
Outputs of similar age
#25,290
of 274,809 outputs
Outputs of similar age from Sustainability Science
#3
of 14 outputs
Altmetric has tracked 22,829,083 research outputs across all sources so far. Compared to these this one has done particularly well and is in the 92nd percentile: it's in the top 10% of all research outputs ever tracked by Altmetric.
So far Altmetric has tracked 791 research outputs from this source. They typically receive a lot more attention than average, with a mean Attention Score of 14.0. This one has done well, scoring higher than 81% of its peers.
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We're also able to compare this research output to 14 others from the same source and published within six weeks on either side of this one. This one has done well, scoring higher than 78% of its contemporaries.