| Title |
Transmission Dynamics of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza at Lake Constance (Europe) During the Outbreak of Winter 2005–2006
|
|---|---|
| Published in |
EcoHealth, August 2010
|
| DOI | 10.1007/s10393-010-0338-6 |
| Pubmed ID | |
| Authors |
M. A. Penny, J. Saurina, I. Keller, L. Jenni, H-G. Bauer, W. Fiedler, J. Zinsstag |
| Abstract |
Highly pathogenic avian influenza virus (HPAI) H5N1 poses a serious threat to domestic animals. Despite the large number of studies on influenza A virus in waterbirds, little is still known about the transmission dynamics, including prevalence, behavior, and spread of these viruses in the wild waterbird population. From January to April 2006, the HPAI H5N1 virus was confirmed in 82 dead wild waterbirds at the shores of Lake Constance. In this study, we present simple mathematical models to examine this outbreak and to investigate the transmission dynamics of HPAI in wild waterbirds. The population dynamics model of wintering birds was best represented by a sinusoidal function. This model was considered the most adequate to represent the susceptible compartment of the SIR model. The three transmission models predict a basic reproduction ratio (R (0)) with value of approximately 1.6, indicating a small epidemic, which ended with the migration of susceptible wild waterbirds at the end of the winter. With this study, we quantify for the first time the transmission of HPAI H5N1 virus at Lake Constance during the outbreak of winter 2005-2006. It is a step toward the improvement of the knowledge of transmission of the virus among wild waterbirds. |
X Demographics
The data shown below were collected from the profile of 1 X user who shared this research output. Click here to find out more about how the information was compiled.
Geographical breakdown
| Country | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Switzerland | 1 | 100% |
Demographic breakdown
| Type | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Practitioners (doctors, other healthcare professionals) | 1 | 100% |
Mendeley readers
The data shown below were compiled from readership statistics for 57 Mendeley readers of this research output. Click here to see the associated Mendeley record.
Geographical breakdown
| Country | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| United States | 2 | 4% |
| Germany | 1 | 2% |
| Italy | 1 | 2% |
| Réunion | 1 | 2% |
| Denmark | 1 | 2% |
| Israel | 1 | 2% |
| Unknown | 50 | 88% |
Demographic breakdown
| Readers by professional status | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Researcher | 16 | 28% |
| Professor | 7 | 12% |
| Student > Ph. D. Student | 7 | 12% |
| Student > Bachelor | 5 | 9% |
| Other | 5 | 9% |
| Other | 10 | 18% |
| Unknown | 7 | 12% |
| Readers by discipline | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Agricultural and Biological Sciences | 23 | 40% |
| Medicine and Dentistry | 10 | 18% |
| Veterinary Science and Veterinary Medicine | 5 | 9% |
| Environmental Science | 3 | 5% |
| Mathematics | 2 | 4% |
| Other | 7 | 12% |
| Unknown | 7 | 12% |
Attention Score in Context
This research output has an Altmetric Attention Score of 1. This is our high-level measure of the quality and quantity of online attention that it has received. This Attention Score, as well as the ranking and number of research outputs shown below, was calculated when the research output was last mentioned on 16 August 2011.
All research outputs
#18,293,967
of 22,649,029 outputs
Outputs from EcoHealth
#609
of 706 outputs
Outputs of similar age
#84,661
of 94,339 outputs
Outputs of similar age from EcoHealth
#8
of 8 outputs
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