Dorrington, @tomtom_m et al. demonstrate how weekly excess mortality monitoring in 🇿🇦during #COVID is possible when the Nat'l Pop Register is systematically updated via the CRVS system. 15/n https://t.co/sIpsiBAlDE
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
@TomimPAAN in this: https://t.co/mzGdhKRHbq and this https://t.co/ddl6LimdpX we argue that probably, over the entire course (I e can't be applied weekly), 85-95% of excess deaths are Covid
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
@RichardSyrup @JamesMelville This Thread does indeed explain what may be going on behind these figures. We cannot rely on the same low death rate from the case rate. For a start, we didn't have that wave go through causing all those Excess Deaths like that
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
But other things gnaw at me. @tomtom_m 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/HJq3haQl3N Expressed per million, that is an 'unofficial Covid deaths' of around 4 200 UK is around 2 150 https:
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @sameo416: Excess mortality is, IMO, *the* indicator of health care failure. Thats the point at which the system has moved into a failur…
Excess mortality is, IMO, *the* indicator of health care failure. Thats the point at which the system has moved into a failure mode that would not have existed if not for COVID. Not a hard accident like a crash, but a population level failure nevertheless.
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
A quarter of a million covid deaths so far in South Africa is a sobering statistic with a population smaller than the UK.
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @IrfanDhalla: South Africa may not be hit as hard by Omicron as many of us feared. But this is likely because it was hit brutally hard b…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
South Africa may not be hit as hard by Omicron as many of us feared. But this is likely because it was hit brutally hard by previous waves. Full thread linked to below worth reading.
RT @tomtom_m: 4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also bee…
4) Excess natural deaths as of 11 Dec were 278 000 as per our weekly @MRCza report. https://t.co/7pUmIdSgPq We have also been of the view that between 85 and 95% of these ED, over the entire course of the epidemic, are related to Covid (https://t.co/mzGdh
@fascinatorfun We don't have any insights, but see this article from Septemeber about the problems with ascertaining accurate statistics for Covid-related deaths during previous Covid waves in SA: https://t.co/KBKCKOqxtH Sounds very complex.
RT @helleringer143: Here is a link to the excellent technical paper describing how this mortality surveillance system was built and functio…
RT @helleringer143: Here is a link to the excellent technical paper describing how this mortality surveillance system was built and functio…
Here is a link to the excellent technical paper describing how this mortality surveillance system was built and functions, in @GENUS_journal: https://t.co/artMHhLMeD
RT @tomtom_m: @MarkDavidsonAfr @Kay2Lance @stevenmarshal69 @News24 @TammyPetersen87 @MYANC We have published the reasoning here: https://t.…
@MarkDavidsonAfr @Kay2Lance @stevenmarshal69 @News24 @TammyPetersen87 @MYANC We have published the reasoning here: https://t.co/ddl6Li4C1n and here https://t.co/mzGdhL9i2Y Lance needs to explain why the excess deaths follows precisely the same pattern as
RT @tomtom_m: @ClaireBotha3 @eNCA @HealthZA @MRCza But in the interim, the MRC-UCT collaboration has sought to estimate the likely scale. I…
@ClaireBotha3 @eNCA @HealthZA @MRCza But in the interim, the MRC-UCT collaboration has sought to estimate the likely scale. In this publication (https://t.co/ddl6Li4C1n and https://t.co/mzGdhL9i2Y) we estimate that - over the entire course of the epidemic
@MarcelToit @pierredevos @GroundUp_News @MRCza @UCT_news @NickHudsonCT OK. Here are some our ours. https://t.co/mzGdhKRHbq https://t.co/H1qzZKMnFb https://t.co/mFF3OvMv4t I think you will zero (like, zero) on the Panda list of their peer-reviewed publicat
RT @GENUS_journal: New publication: Rob Dorrington and colleagues show how to produce weekly updates of excess deaths during #COVID19 epide…
RT @GENUS_journal: New publication: Rob Dorrington and colleagues show how to produce weekly updates of excess deaths during #COVID19 epide…
More than ever, #COVID19 has highlighted the need for data on deaths—regular outputs of a strong #CRVS system. Rapid registration of vital events & greater completeness of data help countries make use of #excessmortality estimates, to better understand
Dorrington, R.E., Moultrie, T.A., Laubscher, R. et al. Rapid mortality surveillance using a national population register to monitor excess deaths during SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in South Africa. Genus 77, 19 (2021). https://t.co/wLO8eXlfg7
RT @blqueiroz: New paper by Dorrington, @tomtom_m, Laubscher, Groenewald and Bradshaw on a rapid system to monitor excesso mortality in Sou…
RT @blqueiroz: New paper by Dorrington, @tomtom_m, Laubscher, Groenewald and Bradshaw on a rapid system to monitor excesso mortality in Sou…
RT @blqueiroz: New paper by Dorrington, @tomtom_m, Laubscher, Groenewald and Bradshaw on a rapid system to monitor excesso mortality in Sou…
New paper by Dorrington, @tomtom_m, Laubscher, Groenewald and Bradshaw on a rapid system to monitor excesso mortality in South Africa during the Covid pandemic. https://t.co/FiKdPTLeDd The paper also discuss the quality of CRVS and methods to adjust deat
RT @GENUS_journal: New publication: Rob Dorrington and colleagues show how to produce weekly updates of excess deaths during #COVID19 epide…
RT @GENUS_journal: New publication: Rob Dorrington and colleagues show how to produce weekly updates of excess deaths during #COVID19 epide…
@MoriartyLab
RT @GENUS_journal: New publication: Rob Dorrington and colleagues show how to produce weekly updates of excess deaths during #COVID19 epide…
RT @GENUS_journal: New publication: Rob Dorrington and colleagues show how to produce weekly updates of excess deaths during #COVID19 epide…
RT @RichmanRonald: New paper from the dream team of South African demographic and actuarial work. Work like this, and that done by the @CO…
New paper from the dream team of South African demographic and actuarial work. Work like this, and that done by the @COVID19actuary and @lrossouw on COVID19, is what actuaries should aspire to. CC: @ActuarialSa
New publication: Rob Dorrington and colleagues show how to produce weekly updates of excess deaths during #COVID19 epidemic when vital statistics are incomplete and years out of date, using civil registration. Open access paper here: ⬇️ https://t.co/zBCdh
A new (open-access) paper from the @MRCza and @UCT_news collaboration on measuring excess mortality: "Rapid mortality surveillance using a national population register to monitor excess deaths during SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in South Africa" https://t.co/mzGdh