@FabiusMaximus01 @metoffice There was some out of sample assessment in this paper from a few years ago: https://t.co/N8qBWk0Rtg Would be nice to see more.
Experimental forecast: global temp next 10 years each year having 50 % chance of exceeding current observed record: http://t.co/TLBoBvp3TF
Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions http://t.co/Kstl8EMqYR
"Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions" http://t.co/9mrWMyvOtw Smith et al (includes @ed_hawkins) ($)
"Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions" http://t.co/9mrWMyvOtw Smith et al (includes @ed_hawkins) ($)
"Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions" http://t.co/9mrWMyvOtw Smith et al (includes @ed_hawkins) ($)
Experimental decadal forecast of global temperature: each year has 50% chance of exceeding current observed record | http://t.co/sDqzl73lEc
Experimental decadal forecast of global temperature: each year has 50% chance of exceeding current observed record | http://t.co/sDqzl73lEc
Experimental decadal forecast of global temperature: each year has 50% chance of exceeding current observed record | http://t.co/sDqzl73lEc
Experimental decadal forecast of global temperature: each year has 50% chance of exceeding current observed record | http://t.co/sDqzl73lEc
Experimental decadal forecast of global temperature: each year has 50% chance of exceeding current observed record | http://t.co/sDqzl73lEc
Experimental decadal forecast of global temperature: each year has 50% chance of exceeding current observed record | http://t.co/sDqzl73lEc
Experimental decadal forecast of global temperature: each year has 50% chance of exceeding current observed record | http://t.co/sDqzl73lEc
Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions | now published | Smith et al. (with @Nick_Dunstone @ed_hawkins) | http://t.co/sDqzl73lEc
@geschichtenpost Projections not predictions? You'd better tell these 20+ climate scientists. http://t.co/edOnHtJkM4
RT @ed_hawkins: Multi-model forecast of global mean temperature for next decade from Smith et al. (2013, http://t.co/CITcsWpZ) http://t.co/HHptTtwo
"models predict with 90 % probability that temps will be warmer than the 1971–2000 mean for nearly all land regions" http://t.co/YHyDs25M
RT @ed_hawkins: Multi-model forecast of global mean temperature for next decade from Smith et al. (2013, http://t.co/CITcsWpZ) http://t.co/HHptTtwo
RT @ed_hawkins: Multi-model forecast of global mean temperature for next decade from Smith et al. (2013, http://t.co/CITcsWpZ) http://t.co/HHptTtwo
RT @ed_hawkins: Multi-model forecast of global mean temperature for next decade from Smith et al. (2013, http://t.co/CITcsWpZ) http://t.co/HHptTtwo
RT @ed_hawkins: Multi-model forecast of global mean temperature for next decade from Smith et al. (2013, http://t.co/CITcsWpZ) http://t.co/HHptTtwo
RT @ed_hawkins: Multi-model forecast of global mean temperature for next decade from Smith et al. (2013, http://t.co/CITcsWpZ) http://t.co/HHptTtwo
Multi-model forecast of global mean temperature for next decade from Smith et al. (2013, http://t.co/CITcsWpZ) http://t.co/HHptTtwo
Cheap quote "Decad climate prediction immature". but v interstng paper. Plans to make data (easy) open? MT @ed_hawkins http://t.co/ePQBWZIi
RT @ed_hawkins: Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions: each year from 2013 has 50% chance exceeding current observed record http://t.co/CITcsWpZ
RT @ed_hawkins: Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions: each year from 2013 has 50% chance exceeding current observed record http://t.co/CITcsWpZ
RT @ed_hawkins: Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions: each year from 2013 has 50% chance exceeding current observed record http://t.co/CITcsWpZ
RT @ed_hawkins: Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions: each year from 2013 has 50% chance exceeding current observed record http://t.co/CITcsWpZ
RT @ed_hawkins: Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions: each year from 2013 has 50% chance exceeding current observed record http://t.co/CITcsWpZ
RT @ed_hawkins: Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions: each year from 2013 has 50% chance exceeding current observed record http://t.co/CITcsWpZ
Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions: each year from 2013 has 50% chance exceeding current observed record http://t.co/CITcsWpZ